Home Affordability Calculator: What You Can Buy vs. What You Should

Enter your income, debts, and cash. See the price a lender will approve at three comfort levels, then find the price that fits the payment you actually want.

By John Downs - Certified Mortgage Advisor
Updated July 2026

Key Takeaways

  • What you qualify for and what you should spend are two different numbers. Lenders approve on math. Your budget runs on your life. This calculator shows both.
  • Approval comes down to debt-to-income ratio. Conservative is 36%, most approvals land around 45%, and underwriting can stretch to 50% for conventional loans, or 57% on FHA.
  • Every $100 in monthly debt costs roughly $15,800 in loan capacity at a 6.50% rate on a 30-year fixed. Debt structure is a buying power lever.
  • Your limiter can be either income or cash (or both). The calculator tells you which one is holding your price back, because the fix is different for each.
  • FHA usually powers the highest approval, but not everywhere. In Maryland counties like Calvert and St. Mary's, the 2026 FHA limit is $541,287, so conventional wins more.
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    Why Do Lenders Approve More Than You Want to Spend?

    Lenders approve more than most buyers want to spend because qualification is primarily based on your debt-to-income ratio, which only counts the debts on your credit report. Underwriting does not see childcare, savings goals, travel, or hobbies. That is why a pre-approval is a ceiling, and your target price should come from the monthly payment you want to live with.

    After 25 years in lending, I can tell you the most common reaction to a pre-approval letter is not excitement. It is disbelief. "You are telling me I qualify for HOW much?"

    That gap is why so many online affordability calculators feel useless. They hand you one number, usually the maximum, and leave you to figure out the rest. This page does the work a loan officer does in a real conversation: first we establish what you can do, then we pivot to what you should target based on the payment that fits your life.

    There is no right or wrong answer on the second part. Everybody lives differently. The goal is to let you play with the numbers and run your what-if scenarios before the pressure of a live deal.

    How Do Lenders Actually Decide What You Qualify For?

    Lenders qualify you based on your debt-to-income ratio (DTI): your total monthly debts, including the new house payment, divided by gross monthly income. Conventional loans typically approve up to 45% through automated underwriting, but can stretch to 50%. FHA allows up to 57%, as long as the housing payment alone stays under 47% of income.

    Where your approval lands depends on how far underwriting lets that ratio stretch.

    Comfort Level Max DTI What It Means
    Conservative
    Conventional
    36% The old-school benchmark. Maximum breathing room for savings, childcare, and everything underwriting cannot see
    Standard
    Conventional
    45% Where most conventional approvals actually land through automated underwriting
    Max Approval
    Conventional
    50% The conventional ceiling, reached with strong compensating factors such as reserves, credit, or down payment
    Max Approval
    FHA
    47% (Front)
    57% (Back)
    The highest ceiling, with 3.5% down, but capped by your county's FHA loan limit (see 2026 loan limits by county)

    Total debt-to-income ratios, including the new housing payment. On FHA, total debt can reach 57%, but the housing payment alone can never exceed 47% of gross monthly income.

    Notice what these tiers really are: the same income, stretched three different distances. A lender is not going to tell you which one to pick, because to underwriting they are all approvable. That choice belongs to you, and it should be made looking at real numbers, not percentages. The calculator below turns each tier into an actual purchase price based on your income, your debts, and your cash, so you can see the full range before deciding where you belong.

    Run Your Numbers

    Enter your income, cash, and monthly debts, then tap a comfort level. The calculator solves your maximum price, putting your full cash to work the way a pre-approval desk would: down payment plus real closing costs. Once you see what you can do, open the target section below the results and tell it the monthly payment you want. It will reverse-engineer the sale price to shop for.

    The Downs Mortgage Group • DMV Home Affordability

    How Much Home Can You Afford?

    See what a lender will allow, then find the price you should actually target

    Choose Your Budget Comfort Level

    Tap a level to see your full payment & cash breakdown ↓

    Your Estimate
    You may afford a home up to
    $0
    Est. total monthly payment
    $0/mo all-in
    Limited by Income Via FHA Loan
    Monthly Payment Breakdown
    Principal & Interest$0
    Mortgage Insurance$0
    Property Taxes$0
    Homeowners Insurance$0
    Total Monthly Payment$0
    The Purchase Structure
    Purchase Price$0
    Loan Amount$0
    Down Payment$0
    Closing Costs & Prepaids$0
    Total Cash Needed$0
    This Max Uses an FHA Structure

    Want a real pre-approval number?15 minutes with John turns this estimate into a plan.
    Talk Through Your Numbers →

    Most people qualify for more than they actually want to spend. Tell us the all-in monthly payment you're comfortable with, and we'll reverse-engineer the purchase price that gets you there, putting your full cash to work just like the estimate above.

    Your Target Price
    $0
    Monthly Payment Breakdown
    Principal & Interest$0
    Mortgage Insurance$0
    Property Taxes$0
    Homeowners Insurance$0
    Total Monthly Payment$0
    The Purchase Structure
    Purchase Price$0
    Loan Amount$0
    Down Payment$0
    Closing Costs & Prepaids$0
    Total Cash Needed$0

    Talk Through Your Numbers With John →
    How This Calculator Works

    DMV Home Affordability Calculator Methodology

    This home affordability calculator for Washington DC, Maryland, and Virginia homebuyers calculates three qualification tiers based on the debt-to-income (DTI) ratios used in conventional mortgage underwriting: Conservative (36% DTI), Standard (45% DTI), and Maximum Approval (50% DTI, achievable through automated underwriting systems). It also models FHA qualification, which permits up to a 57% total debt-to-income ratio provided the housing payment does not exceed 47% of gross monthly income, subject to FHA loan limits. FHA annual mortgage insurance follows HUD's schedule: 0.55% (0.50% with 5%+ down) on base loans up to $726,200, and 0.75% (0.70% with 5%+ down) above that, plus a 1.75% upfront premium financed into the loan.

    Maximum purchase price deploys the buyer's full available cash: the down payment equals total cash minus estimated closing costs, and the calculator iteratively solves the total housing payment equation (principal and interest, mortgage insurance tiered by the resulting down payment percentage, property taxes, homeowners insurance, and HOA dues) for the maximum sale price at each DTI tier. Closing costs and prepaids are itemized at every pass of the solve: fixed lender, appraisal, settlement, and recording fees; owner's title insurance from state-specific tiered rate tables for DC, Maryland, and Virginia; jurisdiction transfer and recordation taxes (county-specific formulas for all 23 Maryland counties plus Baltimore City, the 0.25% buyer share of the Maryland state transfer tax, exempt for first-time Maryland buyers, 0.3333% of price plus loan in Virginia, and 1.1% or 1.45% in Washington DC); property tax escrows of 9 months in Maryland and 5 months in DC and Virginia; 15 months of homeowners insurance (12 prepaid plus 3 escrowed); and 10 days of per-diem prepaid interest.

    A minimum down payment acts as a floor: 5% for repeat buyers or 3% for first-time buyers. Conventional loan limits are location-aware: high-cost areas (Washington DC, Northern Virginia, and Montgomery, Prince George's, Frederick, and Charles counties in Maryland) allow high-balance conventional loans up to $1,249,125, while standard areas cap conventional loans at $832,750. Above the area's conventional limit, the estimate switches to a jumbo structure with a 10% minimum down payment and a 43% maximum DTI. 2026 FHA loan limits are applied by county tier: $1,249,125 in the DC metro tier, $747,500 in the Baltimore metro tier, $630,200 in Cecil County, and $541,287 at the standard floor.

    The calculator also reverse-engineers a target purchase price from the buyer's comfortable monthly payment using the same full-cash method, since most DMV buyers qualify for more than they wish to spend. Created by John Downs, Certified Mortgage Advisor, NMLS 476406, Vellum Mortgage, Inc., NMLS 1657323, serving the DC, Maryland, and Virginia market.

    Results are for illustrative and educational purposes only and are not a commitment to lend or a pre-approval. Qualification estimates do not account for credit history, reserves requirements, or full underwriting review. To obtain an accurate pre-approval, please contact us for a full consultation and official Loan Estimate.

    The Calculator Is One Piece of the Puzzle

    What you qualify for and what you should spend are two different conversations. If you want to talk through your numbers, your debts, and whether a conventional or FHA structure fits you better, I am happy to walk through them with you. No credit pull required.

    *No sales pressure, just the math.

    How Are These Numbers Calculated?

    This calculator works the way a pre-approval desk works. It solves your maximum price in a loop: real closing costs at that price, remaining cash to the down payment, mortgage insurance priced by that down payment, and the full payment tested against actual underwriting ratios, recalculating until every number agrees with every other number.

    • The Solver Loop

      Most calculators apply a flat closing cost guess and a single insurance rate. This one starts with a price, computes the true costs at that price, sees what cash remains for the down payment, reprices the mortgage insurance, and runs again until the numbers converge.

    • Real Local Closing Costs

      The exact transfer and recordation tax formulas for all 23 Maryland counties, Virginia's combined transfer taxes, and DC's recordation rates. Not an estimate of your costs. Your county's actual math.

    • Three Qualification Tiers

      Your approval runs at 36% debt-to-income for a conservative budget, 45% for the standard conventional benchmark, and a maximum tier that compares conventional at 50% against FHA at 47% front / 57% back, showing whichever structure buys more house.

    • County-Aware Loan Limits

      2026 FHA loan limits are applied by county tier. The calculator knows where the DMV allows high-balance conventional loans up to $1,249,125 and switches to a jumbo structure with a 10% minimum down payment where conventional loans cap at $832,750.

    • First-Time Buyer Advantages

      First-time buyers anywhere unlock 3% down conventional pricing. First-time buyers in Maryland and Washington, DC, also get the state transfer tax exemption built directly into the closing cost math.

    The result reflects how your file would actually be structured, not a rough estimate with the hard parts skipped. It is still an estimate: credit, reserves, and full underwriting shape the final answer.

    Why Is Your Max Approval Sometimes an FHA Loan?

    The Max Approval tier compares a conventional loan against an FHA loan and shows which buys more house. FHA often wins because it allows a 57% debt-to-income ratio versus 50% for conventional, and a 3.5% minimum down payment. The trade-off is FHA mortgage insurance, which does not cancel the way conventional PMI does.

    FHA wins for two types of buyers. If cash is your limiter, the 3.5% minimum down payment stretches your dollars further than 5% conventional. If income is your limiter, the 57% ceiling simply allows a bigger payment, as long as the housing portion stays under 47% of your income.

    The cost of that headroom is mortgage insurance. FHA adds a 1.75% upfront premium financed into the loan, plus a monthly premium that stays for the life of the loan in most cases. Conventional PMI scales with your down payment and disappears once you build equity.

    So when the calculator flags "Via FHA Loan," read it as a capability, not a recommendation. Stretching to the ceiling is a tool. Whether you should use it is a conversation.

    One important exception: FHA loan limits are set county by county, and they are not high everywhere. In 2026, Montgomery, Prince George's, Frederick, and Charles counties carry a $1,249,125 FHA ceiling, while counties like Calvert and St. Mary's cap FHA at $541,287, far below the $832,750 conventional limit. In those markets, conventional often wins the max approval, and the calculator accounts for this automatically. The full county picture is on my loan limits page.

    What Price Should You Actually Target?

    Your target price should come from your comfortable monthly payment, not your maximum approval. Take the housing payment that preserves your savings rate and lifestyle, and reverse-engineer the purchase price from there. Most buyers qualify for more than they want to spend, and there is no universal right answer, because every household budgets differently.

    Here is the honest truth from a quarter century of these conversations: the pre-approval letter is a ceiling. It was never meant to be a plan.

    The second half of this calculator flips the question. Instead of "what will a lender allow," it asks "what monthly payment lets you keep living the life you want," and then solves for the sale price that delivers it.

    Why start from the payment? Because the payment is what you feel every month. The sale price is a number you experience once, at the closing table. Your budget is built on what leaves your checking account after the mortgage clears: the savings rate you want to maintain, the trips you want to take, the activities your kids are in, the buffer that lets you sleep.

    Two families earning identical incomes should often target prices $150,000 apart, and both are making the right call. That is exactly why the target section exists: set the payment, get the price, and adjust until the number on the screen matches the life you actually live.

    Scenario: First-Time Buyer in Maryland

    The Buyer's Numbers

    Annual Income: $150,000

    Cash Available: $100,000

    The Loan Scenario

    30-Year Fixed @ 6.50%
    Monthly Debt - $475

    Maryland - FTHB

    • What They Qualify For:

      At the Standard 45% tier, their maximum payment is $5,126 per month, which supports a price of $745,000. At Max Approval, the calculator compares conventional and FHA and shows $820,000.

    • What They Target Instead:

      They decide $4,200 per month is where life stays comfortable: the savings rate holds, the travel budget survives. The target tool reverse-engineers a price of $626,000.

    • The Result

      The gap between their maximum and their target is roughly $194,000 in purchase price. Neither number is wrong. One is the ceiling, and the other is the plan, so they can shop knowing both.

    Max Approved Price
    $
    Target Price
    $
    Sale Price Difference
    $

    Expert Insight: A Pre-Approval Is a Ceiling, Not a Plan

    The most expensive mistake in homebuying is treating your maximum approval as your budget. The approval tells you what the math allows. Your target price should come from the monthly payment that protects the way you actually live. Know both numbers before you shop, because the market will always tempt you toward the first one.

    What Can Change These Numbers?

    Three levers move your buying power more than anything else: your rate, your mortgage insurance pricing, and your debt structure. A 0.50% rate improvement adds roughly 5% to the purchase price, and every $100 of monthly debt you eliminate restores about $15,800 in loan capacity.

    Rates: +5% Per Half Point

    A 0.50% improvement in rate boosts your maximum price by roughly 5%. Credit-based pricing adjustments (LLPAs) move your rate in both directions.

    PMI: Works Both Ways

    The calculator assumes an average mortgage insurance rate. A strong credit profile results in lower pricing and a higher maximum. A weaker one does the opposite.

    Debts: $15,800 Per $100/Mo

    $100 in monthly debt = $15,800 in loan capacity. Paying off credit cards or paying down installment loans to < 10 payments removes them from your ratio entirely.

    Approximations at a 6.50% rate, 30-year fixed. The debt rule is the one almost nobody knows: under 10 payments remaining, the payment can often be omitted from your debt-to-income ratio.

    Which lever is yours depends on which badge the calculator shows you. Rate and PMI strategy start with how loan-level price adjustments work and my PMI guide. Debt restructuring- which order, which accounts, whether to spend the cash at all- is exactly what a strategy call is for.

    What This Calculator Shows, and What Comes Next

    This calculator models standard conventional, and FHA financing. If cash is tight, assistance through the Maryland Mortgage Program, Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB), or DC programs like DC Open Doors and HPAP can stretch you further, and veterans should start with the zero-down VA loan instead. Each has its own page on this site.

    Two companion tools complete the picture. If your question is really about cash, my Cash Buying Power Calculator shows what your savings alone can reach, with and without seller credits. And the payment and closing cost tools on my calculator hub let you verify every line item at your target price.

    One last thing. Online tools, even one as dialed-in as this, are a guide, not an answer. The nuances about your rate, your debts, your county's loan limits, and your tax picture are exactly what a twenty-minute conversation sorts out. Run your scenarios here first, then bring me the numbers, and we will make them real.

    Two Numbers. Know Them Both.

    What you can buy sets your ceiling. What you should buy protects your life. Whether you want to talk through your what-if scenarios, or you are ready to make your numbers official, let's get you set before the right house shows up.

    Just want a rate first? Get a Custom Quote here →

    Home Affordability Frequently Asked Questions

    John Downs, Certified Mortgage Advisor, Downs Mortgage Group at Vellum Mortgage. Serving DC, MD, and VA. NMLS 476406. downsmortgagegroup.com

    About John Downs

    John Downs is a Certified Mortgage Advisor and Senior Vice President at Vellum Mortgage, where he leads the Downs Mortgage Group, serving DC, Maryland, and Virginia. He has spent 26 years in mortgage lending and has closed more than $1.7 billion in loans for families across the region, from first-time buyers using local down payment programs to military families and complex purchase scenarios that other lenders turn away. John treats every mortgage as a financial planning decision rather than a transaction, and he is known for explaining the numbers plainly enough that clients can make the call themselves. Based in Annapolis, Maryland (NMLS 476406), he writes and speaks regularly about housing in the Washington, D.C., and Baltimore area, loan programs, and the rate environment. You can find him as @AdvisorJohnDowns on Reddit, YouTube, and Instagram, and as @AdvisorJohn on X.